Battlelines are being drawn between the major AI labs and the popular applications that rely on them.
This week, both Anthropic and OpenAI took shots at two leading AI apps: Windsurf, one of the most popular vibe coding tools, and Granola, a buzzy AI app for taking meeting notes.
âWith less than five days of notice, Anthropic decided to cut off nearly all of our first-party capacity to all Claude 3.x models,â Windsurf CEO Varun Mohan wrote on X this week, noting that âwe wanted to pay them for the full capacity.â An additional statement on Windsurfâs website said: âWe are concerned that Anthropicâs conduct will harm many in the industry, not just Windsurf.â
Here, Mohanâs company is collateral damage in Anthropicâs rivalry with OpenAI, which has reportedly been in talks to acquire Windsurf for about $3 billion. The deal hasnât been confirmed, but even the spectre of it happening was enough for Anthropic to cut off one of the most popular apps that it powers. After a spokesperson told TechCrunchâs Maxwell Zeff that Anthropic was âprioritizing capacity for sustainable partnerships,â co-founder Jared Kaplan put it more bluntly.
âWe really are just trying to enable our customers who are going to sustainably be working with us in the future,â Kaplan told Zeff. âI think it would be odd for us to be selling Claude to OpenAI.â
Meanwhile, OpenAI sent its own warning shot this week to the budding AI app ecosystem. It announced a ârecord modeâ for ChatGPT â initially only for enterprise accounts â that transcribes calls and generates meeting notes. This is the core use case of Granola, one of my favorite AI tools that recently raised $43 million in additional funding and released a mobile app.
Given how quickly Granola has evolved to do more than summarize meetings, I suspect that the company isnât at risk of extinction. Still, it will be harder to grow when hundreds of millions of ChatGPT users eventually have access to its main functionality.
Itâs unclear how the tension between the product ambitions of OpenAI and Anthropic and the needs of their API customers will settle out. When I interviewed Anthropicâs chief product officer, Mike Krieger, back in March, the company had just announced its own Claude coding competitor to Windsurf and Cursor, which coincidentally raised $900 million this week. I asked Krieger the obvious question: how does Anthropic think about competing with its API customers? He didnât really have an answer.
âI think this is a really delicate question for all of the labs and one that Iâm trying to approach really thoughtfully,â Krieger told me at the time. âHopefully, weâll all be able to navigate the occasionally closer adjacencies.â
AI investor Zak Kukoff put it well this week: âAt some point model providers are going to need to decide if they want to be stable platforms or compete for every vertical.â
Ultimately, this week served as a wake-up call for the many startups building businesses on the backs of AI models; if you are successful enough, you run the risk of being copied by your model provider. A lot of companies are thinking through this risk right now, especially as OpenAI builds a new team to help its API customers âtranslate abstract ideas into production applications.â
âYou have to wonder if the recent moves by the big AI labs to more directly compete with the app layer will be one giant tailwind for incumbents like Google, Amazon, MSFT, etc.,â Michael Mignano, a Granola board member, wrote this week. âIf developers canât trust the labs, maybe itâs better to trust the big guys like they did for cloud?â
A different take on AI and job loss
This week, I heard two CEOs contradict the growing fear that AI will destroy jobs en masse, at least when it comes to engineering roles.
The first was Sundar Pichai, whom I watched speak at Bloombergâs tech conference in San Francisco. He downplayed Dario Amodeiâs doomerism fear about job loss, correctly pointing out that âweâve made predictions like that for the last 20 years about technology and automation, and it hasnât quite played out that way.â He went so far as to say, âI expect we will grow from our current engineering base into next year,â because AI âallows us to do more.â
The next day, I walked down the street to the Moscone Center to see Snowflake CEO Sridhar Ramaswamy, who had just spoken to a room of 4,000 developers with AI pioneer Andrew Ng. I asked Ramaswamy if AI had changed his hiring plans, and he said he agreed with a ranking of hiring desirability for engineers that Ng had just described onstage, with the top being experienced engineers who leverage AI tools, followed by early-career engineers who are all-in on AI. He noted that new graduates who avoid AI tools are at the bottom of the desirability ranking and may struggle to find jobs.
If anything, itâs the middle of the workforce â those who are in the middle of their careers and hesitant to adopt AI tools â that is the most in danger of near-term displacement, Ramaswamy argued. âCompanies tend to accrete middle management, so thereâs very much a push to get more people who are doing. How do we get them as leveraged as possible? Snowflake has historically been a little top-heavy on the engineering side, so we are balancing that out.â
âOh, man, the girls are fighting, arenât they?â – Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez commenting on what was the best day on Twitter in years.
âMaybe thereâs a world where you have one AI in the sky. Maybe you actually have a bunch of domain-specific agents that require a bunch of specific work to make it happen. I think the evidence has really been shifting towards this menagerie of different models.â – OpenAIâs Greg Brockman speaking at the AI Engineerâs World Fair.
âGive it a year. Weâll be doing a billion queries a week if we can sustain this growth rate.â – Perplexity CEO Aravind Srinivas onstage at Bloombergâs tech conference.
âWe were accidentally cash flow positive in Q1, which was cool.â – Substack CEO Chris Best speaking at The Informationâs creator economy summit.
- As part of a broader leadership reshuffling, Microsoftâs CEO of LinkedIn, Ryan Roslansky, is now also leading the Office portfolio of products.
- After a short stint as a distinguished AI engineer at Meta, Rohan Anil is leaving to join Anthropic. Richard Fontaine, CEO of the Center for a New American Security, is also joining the board of Anthropicâs controlling trust.
- Teslaâs head of Optimus, Milan Kovac, is leaving to spend âtime with family,â according to Elon Musk.
- Christian Szegedy, a co-founder of xAI, is leaving to be the chief scientist of an AI startup called Morph.
- Gary Briggs will serve as the interim chief marketing officer of OpenAI while Kate Rouch takes medical leave.
- Palo Alto Networks CEO Nikesh Arora, who was also an early Google executive, is joining Uberâs board. Andrew Macdonald is also being promoted to become the companyâs president and chief operating officer.
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