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Finance

How to make prediction markets more useful

Nexpressdaily
Last updated: June 26, 2025 3:12 am
Nexpressdaily
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If you could invent something to fulfill an economist’s dream, it would look an awful lot like a prediction market. A world where every uncertain future can be priced, hedged and insured against? Kenneth Arrow and Gérard Debreu would approve. A market mechanism to co-ordinate the decentralised wisdom of crowds, ensuring the accuracy of such prices? Adam Smith and Friedrich Hayek sought just that.

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