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Conservative leader Poilievre projected to lose seat in Canada election – as it happened | Canada

Nexpressdaily
Last updated: April 29, 2025 2:43 pm
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Mark Carney says ‘Trump is trying to break us’

Carney tells the crowd that he chose to enter politics because he thought Canada needed big changes guided by strong Canadian values: humility, ambition and unity.

He says he will do his best to uphold those values, to cries of “you betcha” from the crowd.

He said he would begin with the value of humility, and says he has much to be humble about. He says he has made mistakes in the past and will make more – he says he will admit his mistakes, correct them and learn from them.

He promises to work with all Canadians to advance the country and protect Canada.

He says: “America wants our land, our resources, our water. These are not idle threats. Trump is trying to break us so America can own us. That will never happen.”

Photograph: Dave Chan/AFP/Getty Images
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Updated at 07.06 BST

Key events

Closing summary…

It has just gone 10.25am in Ottawa, Canada. Here is a roundup of the momentous results in Canada’s consequential federal election:

  • Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberals have staged a major political comeback to retain power in the parliamentary elections.

  • The polls are still being counted. But as things stand the Liberals are leading with 168 seats. They need 172 for a majority. If the party falls short of the magic number it would need the support of political rivals to govern as a minority government.

  • The Conservatives will likely remain in opposition as the second-largest party. The party have currently secured 144 seats, with 99% of polls having reported results.

  • Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre lost in Carleton, Ontario, a seat he had held for two decades, to a Liberal candidate. “Conservatives will work with the prime minister and all parties with the common goal of defending Canada’s interests and getting a new trade deal that puts these tariffs behind us while protecting our sovereignty,” Poilievre told his supporters in a concession speech in Ottawa.

  • Even though he has lost his seat in the House of Commons, Poilievre remains the de facto Conservative leader for now.

  • The two main parties – Liberals and the Conservatives – saw a rise in their share of the national vote compared with four years ago as the smaller parties (Bloc Québécois, the New Democratic Party, the Green party and the People’s Party) got squeezed out.

  • In his victory speech, Carney said Donald Trump is “trying to break us so that America can own us” and vowed that his new government would not let that happen.

  • Carney, the former Bank of England governor who replaced Justin Trudeau as prime minister just last month, convinced voters that his experience managing economic crises made him the ideal candidate to defy Trump.

  • The left-leaning New Democratic party saw many of its supporters defect to Carney, and fell from 24 seats to fewer than 10; its leader, Jagmeet Singh, announced his resignation after being pushed into third place in his own seat. The separatist Bloc Québécois also saw its support collapse, falling from 32 seats to a projected 23 (you can read more in this summary of the election’s results).

Thanks for joining us. We are closing this blog now but will be restarting a new one shortly. You can find all our latest coverage on Canada here.

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Updated at 15.30 BST

While campaigning, Mark Carney vowed that every dollar the government collects from counter-tariffs on US goods will go toward Canadian workers who are adversely affected by the trade war.

He also said he plans to keep dental care in place, offer a middle-class tax cut, return immigration to sustainable levels and increase funding to Canada’s public broadcaster, the Canadian Broadcasting Corporation.

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Ontario Premier wants cooperation with federal government to deal with ‘economic uncertainty’ caused by Trump’s tariffs

Ontario Premier Doug Ford, the Progressive Conservative party leader who has been the province’s premier since 2018, has congratulated Mark Carney on his victory in the federal elections.

In a statement, Ford, a vocal critic of Donald Trump, said:

  • The federal election comes at a “crucial time” for Canadians who are living with “economic uncertainty” caused by Trump’s punitive tariffs.

  • Ontario is standing ready to work with the federal government to cut “red tape” and thereby allow the country’s businesses to become more competitive and withstand the impacts of higher levies.

  • Carney should make good on his promise to speed up approvals for critical mineral and other resource development projects and support Ontario as it looks to “build the future of nuclear” including “the first small modular reactors in the G7”.

  • The federal government should commit to “meaningful bail reform” to increase public safety.

  • Carney should meet national defence commitments by “using Canadian-made equipment wherever possible” and meeting and exceeding Canada’s 2% of GDP Nato spending target.

Ford, who has won three consecutive majority governments in Ontario for his provincial party, emerged as a strong voice against US tariffs at a time when former prime minister Justin Trudeau was trailing in the polls before his resignation.

Doug Ford is an outspoken critic of US President Donald Trump. Photograph: Justin Tang/AP
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Updated at 14.41 BST

Irish Prime Minister Micheál Martin has congratulated Mark Carney on winning the election. In a post on X, he wrote: “Irish-Canadian relations are deep and strong, based on shared values. I look forward to working with Canada’s new government.”

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Updated at 14.02 BST

Archie Bland

Archie Bland

At the beginning of the year, Canada’s Conservatives had a 25-point lead over the Liberal government, and their leader, Pierre Poilievre, looked certain to be the country’s next prime minister.

But as the votes cast in Monday’s election have been counted, the story of the campaign has been confirmed: victory for the Liberals and their new leader, Mark Carney, who have extended their decade of rule by as much as another five years.

With almost all polls counted, it appears likely that the Liberals will fall just short of a majority, and instead be the leading party in a minority government, as in the last two elections.

Regardless, it represents a remarkable turnaround, and vindication for Carney’s efforts to present himself as the prime ministerial candidate who would most effectively stand up to Donald Trump. As for Poilievre: the CBC projects he has lost his seat.

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Canadian election night – in pictures

Here is a selection of some of the best photos of the night featuring the leaders of the main parties:

Mark Carney dances during an event at the Liberal Party election night headquarters in Ottawa. Photograph: Jennifer Gauthier/Reuters
Mark Carney had a lot of reasons to be happy with the election results, even though his Liberal party have not secured a majority yet. Photograph: Justin Tang/AP
Mark Carney with his wife Diana Fox Carney on stage at his campaign headquarters. Photograph: Sean Kilpatrick/AP
Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre looks down in his concession speech. Photograph: Patrick Doyle/Reuters
Pierre Poilievre kisses his wife Anaida Poilievre at his election night headquarters in Ottawa. Photograph: Patrick Doyle/Reuters
New Democratic Party (NDP) leader Jagmeet Singh at his election night headquarters in Burnaby, British Columbia. He announced that he’d be stepping down as party leader. Photograph: Chris Helgren/Reuters
Bloc Québécois leader Yves-François Blanchet speaks at his election night headquarters in Montreal. The election night saw his party lose seats but could hold the balance of power in a potential Liberal minority government. Photograph: Mathieu Belanger/Reuters
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As we mentioned in an earlier post, Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre, 45, is expected to lose his longtime rural Ottawa seat to Liberal MP Bruce Fanjoy.

Fanjoy – who reportedly used to work in business and marketing – is projected to win 51% of the vote in Carleton, while Poilievre, a veteran politician who first won the Ottawa seat in 2004, was able to secure only 46%.

Thanking everyone who supported his campaign, Fanjoy wrote on X:

To all the people of Carleton, as your new Member of Parliament, I’ll work to bring us together. We are all Canadian. We have to look out for ourselves, and we have to take care of each other. Let’s get to work.

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France’s President Emmanuel Macron has congratulated Mark Carney on his election win.

In a post on X, Macron wrote:

Dear Mark Carney, congratulations on your victory. You embody a strong Canada in the face of today’s challenges. France is glad to further strengthen the friendship which unites our two countries. I’m looking forward to working with you — “elbow to elbow!”

Mark Carney and Emmanuel Macron at the Palais de l’Elysee in Paris on 17 March 2025. Photograph: Sean Kilpatrick/AP
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You can watch a video report of the election night – in which the Liberals made a striking comeback – in the player below:

Canada election: Liberals secure fourth term in office in unexpected Mark Carney victory – video

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We would like to hear from Canadians about their views on the election results. What are the issues you want addressed and what do you want to see from the next term?

You can share your views by filling in this form.

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