As Ursula von der Leyen left Scotland last weekend with the ink still drying on the US-EU trade deal she had just signed with Donald Trump, the reception in European capitals was beyond gloomy.
After all the posturing, and threats of counter-tariffs, Ms Von der Leyen had signed a deal which was roundly criticised by a long line of leaders including German chancellor Friedrich Merz, who said the agreement would âsubstantially damageâ his nationâs finances, and French prime minister Francois Bayrou, who described it as tantamount to âsubmissionâ.
Hungaryâs Viktor Orban, an outspoken critic of the EU leadership, said Trump âate Von der Leyen for breakfastâ.
But there was one question which diplomats and government heads were asking all over Europe: âHow did Keir Starmer get a better deal than us?â
Not only is the EU still paying 15 per cent tariffs, but it has now agreed to spend billions purchasing energy resources from the US. This compared to the 10 per cent tariffs for the UK.
âFeatherweightâ Ursula von der Leyen
A seasoned diplomat of an EU member state told The Independent that there was âangerâ about what had happened.
The fact that the UK âappears to be rewarded for Brexitâ also really stung.
But what was more worrying was that the EUâs supposed collective muscle had failed to produce the goods.
Much of the blame has fallen on Von der Leyen herself and she is now being referred to as âthe featherweightâ. âShe was just not strong enough to take on Trump,â said the diplomat.
âPeople are just remembering that she was a weak defence minister in the German government, [and] now she is weak as a negotiator.â
An insider at Trumpâs Turnberry golf resort described how the US president was âin no hurryâ to conclude the talks on Saturday.
âHe wanted to spend more time talking to paying guests and getting pictures with them,â The Independent was told.
âHe was incredibly gracious to everyone there including the staff.â
Respect for Starmer
But it was a different story with Sir Keir.
The insider noted: âHe spoke very warmly of Starmer. He genuinely likes him. I think he respects Starmer for standing up for himself and being straightforward and honest. Trump does not like a complete sycophant.
âIn Keir he sees a decent man which the public in the UK donât seem to see at all.â
This seemed to not only touch on trade issues but also the problems in the Middle East.
When Emmanuel Macron declared France would recognise a Palestinian state he was savaged by Trumpâs secretary of state Marco Rubio.
And when Canadian PM Mark Carney did the same, Trump himself said it would threaten their trade deal.
But when Starmer did it, Trump effectively greenlit the decision and said he was fine with it.
The personal relationship between Starmer and Trump was vital in getting that done. But there was more.
One Washington insider close to the White House told The Independent: âTrump does not want any trouble with the UK until after he has a successful state visit in September.â
They predicted: âThe relationship with Starmer will eventually fall apart over censorship â online harms bill, digital services taxes, illegal migration, Palestine, and Labourâs capitulation to Islamism.â
However, that might not be the case. The key to UK diplomacy with the US is King Charles III and the Prince of Wales, with the US presidentâs reverence for the royal family keeping the show on the road.
One source said: âThe King and Trump are actually very close.â
Meanwhile he âhas spoken a lotâ to Prince William, who he met at the reopening of Notre Dame cathedral in Paris.
Mandelson works the room
Added to that, though, has been the work of Lord Mandelson as the UKâs ambassador in Washington DC.
Having almost had his credentials rejected over links to China, Mandelson has been âworking hard to meet everyone and build relationsâ.
âHe is one of the big reasons the UK did well out of the trade deal,â a source said.
He is also been central to ensuring that the state visit in September by Trump is âa big successâ.
One DC insider said: âCurrently Lord Mandelson is probably the most effective ambassador in Washington at the moment. He seems to know everybody.â
Sir Keir will be hoping that this will all prove to be enough to maintain the preferential treatment he seems to be enjoying as a world leader with the US at the moment.

